Will Justin Bieber get more than 16.25 million global YouTube views in a single day?

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87%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 28The market resolves to yes if, for the UTC day September 27, 2026 (00:00:00 UTC through 23:59:59 UTC), Google Trends shows in France a strictly greater summed interest for the exact query "cindy crawford" than for the exact query "pierre arditi". Google Trends reported summed interest scores for that UTC day of 1,466 for "cindy crawford" and 0 for "pierre arditi", across 173 comparison points. Because 1,466 is strictly greater than 0, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled87%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-27: "cindy crawford" = 1466, "pierre arditi" = 0 across 173 comparison points. "cindy crawford" was searched more (100% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "cindy crawford" > "pierre arditi", so YES.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThat's how it is
Cindy Crawford has been leading the interest lately, and with just hours left before the betting closes, it's safe to predict she’ll outshine Pierre Arditi on search that day.

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