Will Justin Bieber get more than 16.25 million global YouTube views in a single day?

55%
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16%
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Resolved: No
Results Sep 30The market asks whether Google Trends shows strictly more search interest for France Gall than for Greg Guillotin across the UTC day September 29, 2026. On that UTC day Google Trends reported a daily value of 34 for 'france gall' and 836 for 'greg guillotin', based on 173 comparison points. Because Greg Guillotin had the higher value and the rule required France Gall to be strictly greater, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled16%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Google Trends interest-over-time over the UTC day 2026-09-29: "france gall" = 34, "greg guillotin" = 836 across 173 comparison points. "greg guillotin" was searched more (92% margin, at or above the 20% decisive floor). The market asks whether "france gall" > "greg guillotin", so NO.
Source: trends.google.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the last 30 days of search interest, Gall is far behind Guillotin. It's unlikely she'll outpace him on the 29th; those figures tell the story.

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95%
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91%
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43%
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95%
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