United States
Live prediction markets about United States. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
65%
crowd accuracy
105/161
right calls
19
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 16
85%
Yes
Open questions19
- Will the US ease import tariffs on machinery from Canada on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 31239 predictions82%Yes
- Will the EU or any EU government announce and implement retaliatory measures over US sanctions on the ICC?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1177 predictions17%Yes
- Will anyone be arrested or charged in connection with the suspicious letters sent to congressional and state election offices?Closes Nov 47 predictions26%Yes
- Will Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections?Results Dec 102024 predictions51%Yes
- Will the U.S. reduce or otherwise restrict intelligence sharing with Ukraine?Awaiting result510 predictions31%Yes
- Will Circular's Ring 3 series be available to buy or open pre-order in the US?Results Nov 1407 predictions48%Yes
- Will Muse from Meta be the #1 Free app in the US App Store on October 23?Results Oct 2518 predictions65%Yes
How it turned out161
- Will the Pixel Watch 5 get Blood Pressure and Insulin Resistance Trends in the US?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the U.S. ban on importing Canadian alcohol, motorcycles, and other products be enforced on September 29?Yes
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will the US and China issue a joint written communique during Xi Jinping's Washington visit?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will President Trump raise the US scholar's detention with Xi at their bilateral meeting?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Presidents Cup: will the United States win?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Presidents Cup: will the International team win at Medinah?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Presidents Cup: will the United States win?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will the full text of any US–Denmark agreement about Greenland be made public?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 27 - Will Xi Jinping make an official state visit to the U.S. and be greeted at a U.S. airport by Donald Trump?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will CNN and Politico have their White House press credentials suspended or revoked?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26