Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

90%
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63%
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YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Google's official documentation or release notes explicitly state that both "Blood Pressure" measurement and "Insulin Resistance Trends" are available to Pixel Watch 5 owners in the United States, and that the update enabling those features has been released to users in the United States. Acceptable resolution sources include Google's official Pixel or Google Health support pages, Google Health release notes, Pixel Feature Drop announcements, or mainstream tech reporting that quotes or links to Google's documentation. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's unlikely. With only a month to go and no major announcements yet, I doubt Google will deliver both features by the deadline.

90%
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37%
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49%
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73%
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58%
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35%
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