Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

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Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Sep 26YES if, no later than September 25, 2026, there is public, contemporaneous evidence that Xi Jinping arrived in the United States on a visit described as an official state visit and that President Donald Trump personally greeted him at a U.S. airport. An official White House or Chinese government announcement counts. Photographs, video, or reporting by two or more independent major news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC, NYT) that confirm both facts are also sufficient. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 253 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThere's little likelihood of this happening. With under a week to go, no announcements from either government suggest an official state visit is in the works. No chance Trump greets Xi at the airport.

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40%
Stable · last 24h

62%
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40%
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