Will OpenAI's market share be above 20%?

38%
-45% last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Circular or a US retailer publicly lists the Circular Ring 3 series for sale or open pre-order with explicit US shipping or availability dates no later than October 31, 2026. Listings must be accessible without login on a product page, Circular’s US store page, or a major US retailer (for example Amazon.com or BestBuy.com). Invitation-only pilots or closed programs not open to general US consumers do not count, otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 53%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that we have until late October for Circular or a US retailer to openly list the Ring 3 series, I think it’s likely we'll see something official soon. This is too significant to miss.

38%
-45% last 24h

47%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

58%
+9% last 24h

46%
+5% last 24h

21%
-1% last 24h
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