Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

32%
-1% last 24h

44%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 14YES if two or more independent national news outlets report that President Donald J. Trump signed into law the Russia sanctions bill that the U.S. House approved and sent to him no later than October 13, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Reports published before 12:01 UTC on September 29, 2026 do not count. • Only the President’s signature that makes the bill passed by the U.S. House into law counts. Executive orders or presidential statements do not count. • A veto counts as NO unless two or more outlets report that Congress overrode the veto and the bill became law no later than October 13, 2026. • If the President signs a different bill with similar sanctions language, it counts only if reporting explicitly identifies it as the same bill passed by the U.S. House described in the Source. • Source: Associated Press.
How markets are built and settled44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Be aware of the date, articles are AFTER the market date, this article clearly state that with date awareness
Source: investing.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledTrump's track record suggests he's likely to sign this bill, especially given the pressure from Congress. Expect two outlets to confirm it by the deadline.

32%
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94%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
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33%
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49%
+9% last 24h
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