🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25
Will the U.S. reduce or otherwise restrict intelligence sharing with Ukraine?
33%
-3% last 24h
484 bets · 13.9K credits6
Details →Ukraine
Live prediction markets about Ukraine. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
90%
crowd accuracy
18/20
right calls
6
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during his tribute to Lindsey Graham on July 28?
NoThe crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will the U.S. reduce or otherwise restrict intelligence sharing with Ukraine?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 20
33%
Yes
Open questions6
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?
71%
+42% last 24h
315 bets · 13.2K credits8
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the US, Russia and Ukraine hold expert-level trilateral talks?
15%
Stable · last 24h
278 bets · 9.6K credits7
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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will the United States publicly say it has resumed giving Ukraine advance warning of incoming ballistic missiles?
18%
-1% last 24h
165 bets · 5K credits3
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
69%
Stable · last 24h
152 bets · 8.2K credits2
Details →How it turned out20
- Will there be a reported attack on Ukrainian energy facilities attributed to Russian forces?Yes
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 21 - Will an EU country commit to send Patriot air-defence systems to Ukraine?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Ukraine or Russia publicly confirm an energy-only ceasefire?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 15 - Will Ukraine's prosecutor general be removed from office?Yes
The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Billie Jean King Cup: Will Ukraine beat the Czech Republic to win the title?No
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Billie Jean King Cup: Will Ukraine be one of the two teams in the final?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Billie Jean King Cup: Will Ukraine win the quarterfinal tie against Belgium?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 26 - Will Ukraine suspend offensive strikes into Russian territory?No
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 22 - Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 14 - Will Canada announce a new military aid package for Ukraine?Yes
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 13