Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?

🤖 Context

YES if credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets states that a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces began on October 27, 2026 (local date in Ukraine), otherwise NO. • The start must occur no later than October 27, 2026, local date in Ukraine. • Reports that only announce an intention to negotiate a ceasefire or an agreement to start on a later date resolve NO. • Source: independent authoritative news outlets (e.g. AP, Reuters, BBC).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 27, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 324 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

324

Credits staked

13,657

Comments

8

Opened

Oct 23, 2026

Closes

Oct 27, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 28, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 27, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 28, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 324 predictions and 13.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.