🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will an extraordinary North Atlantic Council meeting be held to address the Black Sea drone attack near Romania?
75%
Stable · last 24h
47 bets · 1.5K credits2
Details →NATO
Live prediction markets about NATO. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
78%
crowd accuracy
7/9
right calls
1
open question
Biggest miss
Will Russian state forces strike any NATO member's territory, waters, or airspace with drones or rockets?
YesThe crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will an extraordinary North Atlantic Council meeting be held to address the Black Sea drone attack near Romania?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 24
75%
Yes
Open questions1
How it turned out9
- Will the senior adviser to Prime Minister Mark Carney be publicly questioned in the House of Commons about the alleged NATO spy screening?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 25 - Will a NATO inquiry or NATO-level response be opened over the drone attacks on merchant ships off Bulgaria's Black Sea coast?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22 - Will an EU country commit to send Patriot air-defence systems to Ukraine?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will NATO’s North Atlantic Council hold a formal meeting to discuss the Oct. 6, 2026 drone attacks on two commercial vessels in Bulgaria’s Black Sea economic zone?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 14 - Will Russian state forces strike any NATO member's territory, waters, or airspace with drones or rockets?Yes
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will the US authorize or start sending complete Patriot air‑defense batteries, not just spare parts, to European NATO countries?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 19 - Will NATO agree on a unified strategy to address the Ukraine conflict at the July 2026 summit?Yes
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 9 - Will President Trump announce a new peace initiative with Ukraine at the NATO summit?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 9 - Will the NATO Summit in Ankara on July 7–8, 2026, result in a new defense investment commitment?Yes
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 8