Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before October 29, 2026 (Oleshky local date), two or more independent reputable news outlets report that Russian and Ukrainian forces observed a cessation of offensive military action in the city of Oleshky and that at least one humanitarian aid delivery or an organized civilian evacuation through an agreed corridor began as part of that ceasefire. Otherwise NO. • Reports must state both the cessation of offensive actions and the start of at least one aid delivery or organized evacuation. • The market resolves YES even if the ceasefire later breaks after the reported start. If the parties issue an official joint statement cancelling the ceasefire with no new date, the market resolves NO. • Source: Two or more independent reputable news outlets or confirmed official statements (for example Reuters, AP, the White House, Ukrainian negotiators).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 176 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

70%

Predictions made

176

Credits staked

8,956

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 24, 2026

Closes

Oct 28, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 30, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 28, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 70% and NO 30%, based on 176 predictions and 9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.