🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
Stable · last 24h
1031 bets · 36.1K credits14
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PoliticsOpened Oct 13 · Results Oct 21
Will there be a reported attack on Ukrainian energy facilities attributed to Russian forces?
85%
Stable · last 24h
📊 283 bettors💎 10.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 21🤖 Context
YES if, between 8:30:33 AM UTC on October 13, 2026 and no later than October 20, 2026, credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news organizations states that a Russian attack occurred on one or more Ukrainian energy facilities and that the incident is attributed to Russian forces; otherwise NO. • Energy facilities means power stations, electrical substations or transmission infrastructure, major refineries, major fuel depots, or fuel/gas pipelines. • Reports must come from two or more independent authoritative news organizations and explicitly attribute the attack to Russian forces. Reports that only allege outages or damage without independent reporting of an attack do not qualify. • Source: AP News and other independent news organizations.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Final verdict: YES. Reuters and AP separately meet the essential criteria of the market: their articles were published during the authorized window, describe attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, and attribute them to Russian forces. This is therefore not simply reporting on power outages without evidence of an attack.
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 85%
- Predictions made
- 283
- Credits staked
- 10,525
- Comments
- 5
- Opened
- Oct 13, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 21, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- reuters.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 5 comments
- 💀
Thank you Donald Trump for making us endure your senseless choices
- 🐼
You never know with political lies and the idiots who pay clowns.
- 🔥
It's zezette's favorite game ...
- 🐼
That's how it is
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the ongoing conflict, credible reports of Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure are highly likely. Expect two reliable sources to confirm an incident this week.
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