Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 12, 2026 (Kyiv local time), two or more independent, authoritative news outlets report that Russian forces conducted one or more air, missile, or drone strikes that struck or caused damage to the facility identified in mainstream reporting as the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) headquarters in Kyiv. Preferably this is corroborated by an official Ukrainian government, Ministry of Defense, or SBU statement. Explosions elsewhere in Kyiv that are not reported as striking the SBU headquarters do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 76 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

76

Credits staked

2,193

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 12, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 76 predictions and 2.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.