📍Russia

Open questions5

🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26

Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

31%

-1% last 24h

Yes 31%No 69%

1139 bets · 40.1K credits14

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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30

Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?

72%

+2% last 24h

Yes 72%No 28%

303 bets · 12.6K credits3

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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31

Will Russian forces carry out missile, rocket, or aerial strikes inside Ukraine?

91%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 91%No 9%

291 bets · 10K credits5

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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1

Will the US, Russia and Ukraine hold expert-level trilateral talks?

15%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 15%No 85%

278 bets · 9.6K credits7

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🏛️PoliticsResults Dec 16

Will Russia attend the G20 leaders’ summit in Miami in December 2026?

64%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 64%No 36%

78 bets · 1.1K credits0

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How it turned out39

• Will Russia publicly claim responsibility for the Oct 3 strike that damaged Kyiv's Pivnichnyi (Northern) Bridge?

  The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 7
  No
• Will the current EU sanctions package on Russia be formally extended?

  The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 7
  Yes
• Will Russian forces strike a Ukrainian data centre and cause damage or outages?

  The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 2
  Yes
• Will the sanctions bill that would let the President impose up to 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil and gas become law?

  The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 2
  Yes
• Will the U.S. House pass a bill that imposes a 100% tariff on imports from India if India keeps buying Russian oil?

  The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 2
  Yes
• Will the EU renew or extend sanctions on Russia?

  The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.

  Oct 1
  Yes
• Will Russia's 3-day parliamentary election that began Sept. 18 have a final official nationwide turnout of 40.0% or higher?

  The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 26
  Yes
• Will Poland officially recall its ambassador to Russia?

  The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 25
  No
• Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

  The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 22
  No
• Will Russia publish official final nationwide vote totals and seat allocations for the 2026 wartime Duma election?

  The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.

  Sep 21
  No

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