Will the EU renew or extend sanctions on Russia?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, two or more independent major international news organisations (for example Reuters, AP, AFP, dpa, BBC) report that the EU Council has formally adopted a legal act (for example a Council Decision, Council Regulation, or Implementing Act) that expressly renews or extends the EU restrictive measures on Russia referenced in the Tagesschau article. Preferably this appears in an EU Council press release or by publication in the Official Journal (EUR-Lex). Otherwise NO, including if the Council only announces further talks, issues a non‑binding statement, adopts only unrelated measures, or lets the measures lapse.

Key facts

Crowd probability

92%

Predictions made

433

Credits staked

14,974

Comments

6

Opened

Sep 22, 2026

Closes

Sep 29, 2026

Resolved

Oct 1, 2026

Outcome

Yes

Resolution source

consilium.europa.eu