Will the EU renew or extend sanctions on Russia?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, two or more independent major international news organisations (for example Reuters, AP, AFP, dpa, BBC) report that the EU Council has formally adopted a legal act (for example a Council Decision, Council Regulation, or Implementing Act) that expressly renews or extends the EU restrictive measures on Russia referenced in the Tagesschau article. Preferably this appears in an EU Council press release or by publication in the Official Journal (EUR-Lex). Otherwise NO, including if the Council only announces further talks, issues a non‑binding statement, adopts only unrelated measures, or lets the measures lapse.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 92%, based on 282 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

92%

Predictions made

282

Credits staked

9,879

Comments

5

Opened

Sep 22, 2026

Closes

Sep 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 92% and NO 8%, based on 282 predictions and 9.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the EU renew or extend sanctions on Russia?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the EU renew or extend sanctions on Russia?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.