Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 21, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that Russian federal authorities (the Presidency, the Government, the Ministry of Defence, or an official state body) have publicly announced and published a decree, order, or official statement enacting a new general or partial mobilization. That means the announcement must explicitly order call-ups of reservists, activate conscripts beyond routine cycles, or declare a state of mobilization. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 89 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

36%

Predictions made

89

Credits staked

1,844

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 10, 2026

Closes

Sep 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 22, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 22, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 36% and NO 64%, based on 89 predictions and 1.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.