Will the sanctions bill that would let the President impose up to 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil and gas become law?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 30, 2026 the specific congressional measure described in the SAN article (the bill sent to the President’s desk that would permit imposition of up to 100% tariffs on purchasers of Russian oil and gas) becomes law, either by the President signing it or by it becoming law without signature, as reported by at least two independent U.S. national news organizations. Preferably this reporting will cite an official White House statement or the enrolled-bill record on the U.S. Congress/Clerk record. If Congress instead enacts only a materially different bill that does not include the tariff provision described in the article, the market resolves NO. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 484 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

484

Credits staked

15,831

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 1, 2026

Resolution source

san.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 484 predictions and 15.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against san.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the sanctions bill that would let the President impose up to 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil and gas become law?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the sanctions bill that would let the President impose up to 100% tariffs on buyers of Russian oil and gas become law?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.