Will the U.S. House pass a bill that imposes a 100% tariff on imports from India if India keeps buying Russian oil?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, the U.S. House gives final passage (a recorded roll‑call or formally entered final passage vote) to a bill whose operative text, as passed by the House, imposes a 100% tariff on imports from India conditional on continued purchases by India of Russian crude oil or petroleum products. This includes the Senate‑approved measure from the Senate vote on 7 August 2026 or a House bill that is substantively the same on that specific 100%‑tariff conditionality. Resolution will be based on the official House roll‑call record (Clerk of the House / Congress.gov) and/or clear reporting by two or more independent reputable news organisations such as Reuters or the Associated Press, and if the House only refers the measure to committee, passes a different or diluted bill, or takes no final passage by the deadline, it resolves NO.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

219

Credits staked

5,811

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 11, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Resolved

Oct 2, 2026

Outcome

Yes

Resolution source

tribuneindia.com