🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?
14%
Stable · last 24h
2960 bets · 66.2K credits8
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PoliticsResults Jul 8
Will the NATO Summit in Ankara on July 7–8, 2026, result in a new defense investment commitment?
67%
Stable · last 24h
📊 83 bettors💎 1.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 8🤖 Context
This market will resolve to YES if, during the NATO Summit in Ankara on July 7–8, 2026, member countries announce a new commitment to increase defense investment. It will resolve to NO if no such commitment is announced during the summit.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes67%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 67%
- Predictions made
- 83
- Credits staked
- 1,809
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jul 4, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 7, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 8, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nato.int
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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