🏛️Politics
Closes Aug 21
Will the U.S. and Iran publicly say they've concluded a bilateral agreement on managing the Strait of Hormuz?

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3457 bets · 78.7K credits8
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 8This market will resolve to 'YES' if President Donald Trump announces a new peace initiative with Ukraine during the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7–8, 2026. It will resolve to 'NO' if no such announcement is made during the summit.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Sources used to resolve this market
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