🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
Stable · last 24h
1011 bets · 35.3K credits13
Details →
PoliticsOpened Aug 28 · Results Sep 16
Will the US authorize or start sending complete Patriot air‑defense batteries, not just spare parts, to European NATO countries?
35%
Stable · last 24h
📊 416 bettors💎 6.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 16🤖 Context
YES if no later than September 15, 2026, the U.S. government publicly authorizes and/or begins physically dispatching Patriot air‑defense batteries or complete Patriot missile‑launcher batteries from U.S. government stocks for delivery to one or more European NATO member countries. Shipments limited to spare parts, munitions‑only deliveries, training teams, or transfers that began before August 28, 2026 do not count. Resolution is based on reporting from at least two independent reputable news organizations or on official U.S. Department of Defense or NATO statements.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No35%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 35%
- Predictions made
- 416
- Credits staked
- 6,777
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 28, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 19, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 21 💎
The U.S. is unlikely to authorize sending complete Patriot batteries before mid-September, given the timeline and need for clear reports. Expect more rhetoric than action here.
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