Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/402
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,548,000,000,000 MXN to 'participaciones para estados y municipios' (shared revenues for states and municipalities)?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 16404 predictions82%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate less than 173,000,000 MXN to the Fiscalía Especializada en Combate a la Corrupción?Closes Nov 18 · Results Dec 1404 predictions68%Yes
- Will Anatalia Jocelyn Gutiérrez Gutiérrez's recurso de revisión be rejected and her amparo denial upheld?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3404 predictions81%Yes
- Will Miriam Martínez be formally nominated as PAN's official candidate for governor of Tlaxcala?Closes Jan 1404 predictions56%Yes
- Will Lydia Antonio de la Garza be ratified as Mexico's ambassador to Peru?Closes Nov 18 · Results Nov 21403 predictions60%Yes
- Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1403 predictions61%Yes
- Will an official Mexico City list show at least 32 'Utopías' as completed or under construction?Closes Jan 1403 predictions27%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget set total net expenditure at least 10,515,000,000,000 MXN?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2402 predictions79%Yes
- Will the PVEM say it won't join Morena in any Mexico City race in 2027?Closes Dec 16402 predictions45%Yes
- Will Morena CDMX announce it will use internal opinion surveys to pick at least one 2027 Mexico City candidate?Closes Dec 16402 predictions42%Yes
- Will the 'Ley General para el Fortalecimiento y Armonización Catastral y Registral' be enacted into law?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 3402 predictions27%Yes
- Will the youth rental housing program in Mexico City be publicly launched?Closes Jan 1402 predictions26%Yes
How it turned out402
- Will Mexico City's daily high on Monday, July 27, 2026 reach at least 24 °C?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 28 - Will Tropical Cyclone Genevieve reach sustained winds of at least 209 km/h (Category 4) by July 27, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 28 - Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 5.9 or greater on or after July 25, 2026 but before July 28, 2026?No
The crowd was 91% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 28 - Will Tropical Depression Seven‑E be a Category 3 hurricane at 6:00 AM Mexico time on July 27, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 27 - Will Hurricane Fausto be placed under a 'Zona de vigilancia' (watch/warning) for any Mexican state or be described as producing effects in Mexico by July 26, 2026?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 26 - Will Mexico experience an earthquake of magnitude 5.9 or greater before July 26, 2026?No
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 26 - Will a magnitude 5.9 or greater earthquake strike Mexico before July 25, 2026?No
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 25 - Will Mexico 🇲🇽 beat England 🏴 in their match on July 5, 2026?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 6 - Will Mexico 🇲🇽 beat their opponent in their match on June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1 - Will Mexico 🇲🇽 beat Ecuador 🇪🇨 in their match on June 30, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 1