Will G7 leaders or foreign ministers announce a coordinated new sanctions package on Russia over the Kyiv bridge strikes?

65%
-1% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Partido Acción Nacional (PAN) issues an official, public nomination (a PAN press release, an official party resolution, or an on-the-record statement by PAN national leadership) naming Miriam Martínez as PAN’s official candidate for governor of Tlaxcala no later than December 31, 2026. The nomination may also be established by credible reporting of the nomination in two or more independent Mexican news outlets. If she is only described as a 'coordinator', 'organizer', 'precandidate', or a similar informal role without an explicit PAN nomination or registration, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Jan 1, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against eluniversal.com.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 404 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeframe and the need for a formal nomination, it seems likely the PAN will back Martínez. Expect another round of political maneuvering, but she has a good shot here.

65%
-1% last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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