Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
248/400
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,548,000,000,000 MXN to 'participaciones para estados y municipios' (shared revenues for states and municipalities)?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 16404 predictions82%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate less than 173,000,000 MXN to the Fiscalía Especializada en Combate a la Corrupción?Closes Nov 18 · Results Dec 1404 predictions68%Yes
- Will Anatalia Jocelyn Gutiérrez Gutiérrez's recurso de revisión be rejected and her amparo denial upheld?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3404 predictions81%Yes
- Will Miriam Martínez be formally nominated as PAN's official candidate for governor of Tlaxcala?Closes Jan 1404 predictions56%Yes
- Will Lydia Antonio de la Garza be ratified as Mexico's ambassador to Peru?Closes Nov 18 · Results Nov 21403 predictions60%Yes
- Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1403 predictions61%Yes
- Will an official Mexico City list show at least 32 'Utopías' as completed or under construction?Closes Jan 1403 predictions27%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget set total net expenditure at least 10,515,000,000,000 MXN?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2402 predictions79%Yes
- Will the PVEM say it won't join Morena in any Mexico City race in 2027?Closes Dec 16402 predictions45%Yes
- Will Morena CDMX announce it will use internal opinion surveys to pick at least one 2027 Mexico City candidate?Closes Dec 16402 predictions42%Yes
- Will the 'Ley General para el Fortalecimiento y Armonización Catastral y Registral' be enacted into law?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 3402 predictions27%Yes
- Will the youth rental housing program in Mexico City be publicly launched?Closes Jan 1402 predictions26%Yes
How it turned out400
- Will anyone be publicly named 'coordinador estatal' (state coordinator) to run Morena's campaign for any 2027 governorship?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on August 21?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 22 - Will any announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session in León, Oaxaca, Tijuana, or Mexico City be blocked by a federal court order?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 21 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 23 °C on August 20?Yes
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 21 - Will the PlayStation Store charge accounts registered in Mexico in Mexican pesos (MXN) on or after August 20, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 20 - Will the in-person 'examen de control' take place in all four scheduled cities for the 2026 admissions contest?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 20 - Will the Comisión Permanente meet in a formal session on August 19?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19 - Will Popocatépetl produce at least one exhalation or eruption with ash?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19 - Will Popocatépetl ash fall in the Mexico City metro on August 18?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 19 - Will tropical cyclone Hernan make landfall anywhere in Mexico, including islands and the Baja California Peninsula?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 18