Will any announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session in León, Oaxaca, Tijuana, or Mexico City be blocked by a federal court order?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or before the scheduled date for a listed session (12–19 August 2026), a Mexican federal court issues a formal provisional suspension ("suspensión provisional" — provisional suspension), injunction, or equivalent judicial order that legally prevents the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México from administering that announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session, and that scheduled session does not take place because of the order. The fact must be shown by the Poder Judicial de la Federación's public docket or published court order, by UNAM's official statement citing the order, or by contemporaneous reporting from at least two independent national news outlets. Preferred authoritative source: the Poder Judicial de la Federación, preferably corroborated by UNAM communications and national media. A filed amparo or lawsuit without a court-ordered suspension does not count. An order that only requires procedural changes but still allows candidates to take the exam does not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 5 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

66%

Predictions made

5

Credits staked

50

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 13, 2026

Resolution source

politica.expansion.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 66% and NO 34%, based on 5 predictions and 50 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against politica.expansion.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session in León, Oaxaca, Tijuana, or Mexico City be blocked by a federal court order?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any announced in-person 'Examen de Control Presencial' session in León, Oaxaca, Tijuana, or Mexico City be blocked by a federal court order?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.