Japan
Live prediction markets about Japan. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
57%
crowd accuracy
20/35
right calls
Biggest miss
The crowd was 80% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
Nothing open on Japan right now
New questions drop every day. Check back soon, or see what's open elsewhere.
See open questionsHow it turned out35
- Will Japan's H3 rocket launch the MMX spacecraft from Yoshinobu on 20 October?Yes
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 20 - Will Japan record an earthquake of magnitude 5.1 or greater?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 8 - Will a magnitude 5.3 or greater earthquake strike Japan?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - Will Typhoon Saudel make landfall on any of Japan’s Ryukyu Islands or on mainland China?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 19 - Will a magnitude 4.8 or greater earthquake hit Japan?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 19 - Will North Korea launch a ballistic missile or publicly declare a weapons test?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will an earthquake of magnitude 4.8 or greater strike Japan?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 14 - Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 11 - Will Japan have an earthquake of magnitude 4.9 or higher?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 9 - Will Japan have an earthquake of magnitude 5.1 or greater?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 7