Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 18YES if, no later than 23:59 JST on September 18, 2026, an operational advisory from the Japan Meteorological Agency, the China Meteorological Administration, or the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center explicitly states Typhoon Saudel’s centre made landfall on one or more of the Ryukyu Islands or on the coastline of mainland China, or if at least two independent major news organisations explicitly report the storm’s centre made landfall in one of those areas by that deadline. "Landfall" requires explicit language that the cyclone’s centre crossed the named coastline. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled92%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the timing and existing forecasts, it's likely that Typhoon Saudel will make landfall. The agencies have a track record of warnings well ahead of time, and we’re only a few days out.

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