Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?

🤖 Context

YES if a coordinated military exercise that includes active, on-the-record participation of the armed forces of the United States, South Korea and Japan begins no later than September 10, 2026, as shown by reporting from at least two independent reputable news organizations or by official announcements from any of the three defense ministries, preferably the U.S. Department of Defense, the Republic of Korea Ministry of National Defense, or the Japan Ministry of Defense. Separate bilateral drills held at the same time do not count. Planning talks, staff-level meetings, or advisory visits without a reported start of a combined exercise do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 36%, based on 37 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

36%

Predictions made

37

Credits staked

927

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 28, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 11, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 36% and NO 64%, based on 37 predictions and 927 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.