Will the G7 announce a coordinated release of oil or diesel from member strategic reserves?

61%
-31% last 24h

12%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Iran issues a public statement explicitly accepting the U.S. response as terms to end hostilities no later than 20:30 on October 9, 2026, otherwise NO. • Acceptance must use explicit language such as “we accept,” “we agree to,” or be evidenced by signing an agreement. Statements saying only “discuss,” “consider,” or “negotiate” do not count. • Acceptance counts if made by the President, the Foreign Ministry, the Supreme Leader’s office, or an official spokesperson, or if at least two independent major news organizations report Iran accepted. • Source: Iranian government statements or at least two independent major news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC, New York Times).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 12%, based on 490 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
61%
-31% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

10%
Stable · last 24h

46%
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52%
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