The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 22Strait of Hormuz
PlaceGeopolitics
Live prediction markets about Strait of Hormuz. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
67%
of calls the crowd got right
3
markets settled
The crowd called 2 of 3 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.
How it turned out
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 1Will ASEAN's final communique mention the Strait of Hormuz or call to open it before July 22, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 22