🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
31%
-1% last 24h
1104 bets · 38.9K credits14
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 27
Will any Iranian government official be physically in New York and give a speech at the UN's 2026 high-level meeting?
46%
Stable · last 24h
📊 460 bettors💎 14.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 27🤖 Context
The market pays out yes if the UN's official speakers list shows an Iranian government official was physically in New York and delivered oral remarks during the UN 2026 high-level week, or if at least two independent major news organisations report that same physical, in-person address. Reuters and NPR reported that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was physically in New York and spoke from the United Nations General Assembly podium on September 23, 2026. Because two independent major outlets confirmed his in-person address during High-Level Week, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Contemporary reporting in independent, reputable outlets shows an Iranian government official (President Masoud Pezeshkian) was physically in New York and spoke from the UN podium during High-Level Week. Reuters (photo caption and article) and NPR both report and illustrate that Pezeshkian "addressed the United Nations General Assembly in New York" on 2026-09-23, which establishes physical presence and an in-person oral statement at the meeting. The UN high-level week schedule in the provided evidence confirms the event dates for context.
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 46%
- Predictions made
- 460
- Credits staked
- 14,464
- Comments
- 6
- Opened
- Sep 18, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 27, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- reuters.com, npr.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 6 comments
Related predictions
See all →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?
94%
Stable · last 24h
1040 bets · 41.5K credits14
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 7 · Results Nov 8
Will terrorism charges be filed in connection with the Paris‑suburb shootings?
66%
-14% last 24h
630 bets · 24.9K credits4
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 2 · Results Nov 4
Will Missouri use the Republican-backed congressional map for ballots in the November general election?
40%
Stable · last 24h
575 bets · 18.8K credits6
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 3 · Results Nov 4
Will the Missouri Secretary of State tell every county to use the 2022 congressional map for the 2026 general election?
64%
Stable · last 24h
565 bets · 18.8K credits4
Details →🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 27
Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?
32%
-1% last 24h
526 bets · 18K credits2
Details →