🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26
Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
59%
+8% last 24h
542 bets · 19.2K credits11
Details →Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
78/115
right calls
26
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
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Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 23
59%
Yes
Open questions26
📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Android 18 be announced?
75%
Stable · last 24h
458 bets · 13.1K credits6
Details →📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Nov 1
Will the Fitbit Air Metal Mesh band start shipping to US customers?
31%
Stable · last 24h
424 bets · 8.1K credits1
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🎥People·CreatorsCloses Nov 1
Will MrBeast post on his official YouTube channel a public video that promotes Google's "Gemini" or is marked as a paid promotion for Google/Gemini?
54%
Stable · last 24h
418 bets · 7.9K credits2
Details →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 1
Will the 'CC' family AI be available to all U.S. personal Gmail users without a waitlist or invitation?
55%
Stable · last 24h
408 bets · 8.2K credits2
Details →- Will OpenAI, Anthropic and Google/DeepMind/Alphabet publish one joint, signed statement committing to coordinate on pacing or to shared limits on AI capability development?Closes Nov 1406 predictions41%Yes
- Will the open-source bug bounty program Google froze on Oct 4, 2026 be resumed?Closes Nov 5362 predictions47%Yes
- Will YouTube remove the visible dislike button from the main video controls on desktop for all users?Closes Nov 21 · Results Nov 22341 predictions11%Yes
- Will Gemini be the top AI on Oct 31?Closes Oct 31326 predictions58%Yes
- Will Google Assistant no longer be available on Google Nest and Google Home smart speakers and displays?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1278 predictions27%Yes
- Will the Pixel phone support page default to the AI 'Ask Google Help' chatbot?Closes Dec 1267 predictions77%Yes
- Will the Fitbit Edge be available to buy on October 27?Closes Oct 27209 predictions91%Yes
How it turned out115
- Will Google's market share be above 22.5%?No
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 5 - Will Google's market share be above 20.8%?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 5 - Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?No
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Transporter‑18 put Google's Suncatcher MVP into orbit on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will another 'Gemini Robotics 2.0' model be publicly available?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will an official downloadable OTA or factory image with build CP41.260814.003.C2 be published for at least one Pixel 11‑series device?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Android TVs and vehicles with Google built‑in get exact calendar dates to switch to Gemini-only?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Google let eligible U.S. college students claim one free year of Google AI Pro?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Google release the next Gemini Pro model?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 1 - Will Google release the next Gemini Pro model?No
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1