Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, Google publicly announces and makes generally available to external users or developers an AI model explicitly named "Gemini 3.5 Pro". Making it generally available requires a public announcement plus an accessible channel (product or app page, API listing, app update, or public sign-up) through which non-internal users can access or sign up. Private invite-only previews or internal pilots do not count, and releases under a different name do not count unless the exact phrase "Gemini 3.5 Pro" appears.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against arstechnica.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 86%, based on 33 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

86%

Predictions made

33

Credits staked

841

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 2, 2026

Resolution source

arstechnica.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 86% and NO 14%, based on 33 predictions and 841 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against arstechnica.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a model called "Gemini 3.5 Pro" be publicly released by Google?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.