Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

65%
+7% last 24h

27%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 1YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, Google (Alphabet Inc.) publishes and makes publicly available at least one additional Gemini Robotics 2.0 model for general purchase, for public pre-order (a publicly accessible order/pre-order page that accepts orders or deposits), or for public developer access/registration (a publicly accessible sign-up or download page any developer can use without an invitation). If Google only announces availability after that date or restricts access to a private/closed partner program with no public signup or order page by the deadline, that is NO. Authoritative sources are Google product pages, an official Google blog/press release, a Google Store listing, or multiple reputable media outlets directly citing Google.
How markets are built and settled27%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: On July 30, 2026, Google DeepMind presented Gemini Robotics 2, with three models: * Gemini Robotics 2 — VLA model, still in private preview; * Gemini Robotics ER 2 — reasoning model for robots; * Gemini Robotics On-Device 2 — VLA model designed to operate locally. Google has indeed made at least one additional model from the Gemini Robotics 2 generation publicly available before the deadline.
Source: deepmind.googleSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
65%
+7% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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