📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
15%
-1% last 24h
4808 bets · 106.7K credits169
Details →France
Live prediction markets about France. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
293/393
right calls
49
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Bigflo & Oli’s €100,000 ZEvent donation be publicly listed as received?
NoThe crowd was 95% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will a bill be filed to ban or penalize deliberate lies in politics?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 8
15%
Yes
Open questions49
⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 4 · Results Nov 5
Will Zinedine Zidane still be the head coach of France's senior men's national team on November 5?
99%
Stable · last 24h
4700 bets · 180.5K credits135
Details →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 6
Nations League: Will Ousmane Dembélé be named in Zinedine Zidane's France squad on November 6?
28%
+1% last 24h
3018 bets · 123.1K credits60
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🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 1
Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?
94%
Stable · last 24h
1301 bets · 47.4K credits19
Details →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Nov 6
Nations League: will Zinedine Zidane unveil France's next squad on November 6?
98%
Stable · last 24h
677 bets · 32.1K credits11
Details →- Will the maximum temperature in metropolitan France reach at least 23.0 °C on October 31?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 1517 predictions23%Yes
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann publicly withdraw his candidacy for France's 2027 presidential election?Closes Feb 28 · Results Mar 1504 predictions8%Yes
- Will an official national tribute ('hommage national') be held for the victims of the Trappes attack?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5474 predictions83%Yes
- Will the Senate‑amended 'casseurs‑payeurs' bill be formally transmitted to the Conseil d'État?Closes Nov 4 · Results Nov 5398 predictions66%Yes
- Will a formal hearing be scheduled and publicly announced to examine RN and UDR's challenge to remove Richard Ferrand?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 1357 predictions27%Yes
- Will Jean‑Luc Mélenchon be formally investigated for complicity in the October 17, 2026 violence?Closes Jan 31 · Results Feb 1337 predictions14%Yes
- Will at least 70,000 police and gendarmerie personnel be deployed across France on October 31?Closes Oct 30 · Results Nov 1328 predictions95%Yes
How it turned out393
- Will Kylian Mbappé 🇫🇷 score the first goal of France 🇫🇷’s match against Paraguay 🇵🇾 on 2026‑07‑04?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 5 - Will France 🇫🇷 reach the quarter‑finals?Yes
The crowd was 96% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 5 - Will a French rider win Stage 1 of the Tour de France 2026 (earn the first yellow jersey)?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 4 - Will France’s monthly industrial production (manufacturing output) increase in May 2026 compared to April 2026?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 4 - Will a French judoka win a gold medal at the 2026 European Judo Championships for Cadets in Gran Canaria?Yes
The crowd was 75% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 3 - Will France’s harmonized (HICP) inflation rate exceed 3.0% in June 2026?No
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 3 - Will any French crypto-asset service provider (PSAN) fail to obtain MiCA authorization by July 1, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 3 - Will Gabriel Attal finish in the top two in first‑round presidential polling in France by July 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 3 - Will France’s CNIL officially begin enforcing the EU AI Act as France’s main regulator by end of June 2026?No
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2 - Will France’s 10‑year government bond yield exceed 4.10% on or before June 30, 2026?No
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 2