Will the Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg on September 15?

🤖 Context

YES if the Falcon 9 assigned to USSF‑259 performs a liftoff (engines ignite and the vehicle clears the pad) from SLC‑4E at Vandenberg during the first scheduled launch attempt, which begins at 6:00 PM PDT on September 15, 2026, and that liftoff is reported by SpaceX, the U.S. Space Force range/operator, or major independent outlets such as Spaceflight Now or Reuters. Engine ignition without the vehicle clearing the pad counts as NO. If the attempt is scrubbed or postponed before ignition, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 38 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

38

Credits staked

1,161

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 16, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 38 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg on September 15?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 carrying USSF‑259 lift off from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg on September 15?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.