Will Starship Flight 14 (Ship 41 with Booster 21) lift off from Pad 2 at Starbase on Sept 18?

🤖 Context

YES if SpaceX performs a liftoff of the integrated Starship vehicle composed of Ship 41 and Booster 21 from Pad 2 at Starbase, Texas on September 18, 2026 at or after 7:15 AM CDT (12:15 UTC). "Liftoff" means the engines ignite and the vehicle clears the pad, i.e. vertical motion away from the pad. The liftoff must be reported by the launch operator SpaceX or by independent reporting such as Spaceflight Now or Reuters. Engine ignition that does not result in the vehicle clearing the pad counts as NO. If SpaceX publicly announces a scrub or postponement prior to ignition the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 21 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

21

Credits staked

773

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 13, 2026

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 18, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 21 predictions and 773 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Starship Flight 14 (Ship 41 with Booster 21) lift off from Pad 2 at Starbase on Sept 18?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Starship Flight 14 (Ship 41 with Booster 21) lift off from Pad 2 at Starbase on Sept 18?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.