Will Starship Flight 14 (Ship 41 with Booster 21) lift off from Pad 2 at Starbase on Sept 18?

45%
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YES if SpaceX, the U.S. Space Force or range release, or mainstream outlets report that Falcon 9 first stage booster B1097 touched down on and remained aboard the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love' during the USSF-259 launch attempt that begins within the launch window opening at 18:00 PDT on 15 September 2026 from SLC‑4E, Vandenberg Space Force Base, California. If the booster that landed is not B1097, or if no launch attempt (no liftoff) occurs in that window, it resolves NO. A publicly reported touchdown that remained on the droneship counts as YES even if later recovery operations fail.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 241 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledBeaucoup de "retard" et de report chez space x, on verra bien 🤷🏼
Given that Falcon 9 B1097 has a strong track record and SpaceX is well-versed in landing on droneships, I expect a successful touchdown during this launch attempt.

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27%
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21%
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90%
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83%
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92%
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