wildfire
Live prediction markets about wildfire. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
80%
crowd accuracy
4/5
right calls
Biggest miss
Will residents of any Spanish municipality be ordered to evacuate due to a wildfire or fire risk?
YesThe crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Open questions
Nothing open on wildfire right now
New questions drop every day. Check back soon, or see what's open elsewhere.
See open questionsHow it turned out5
- Will any inhabited area in Spain be ordered to evacuate because of wildfires or fire risk linked to the fourth heatwave?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19 - Will the wildfire near Saint‑Just, south of Rennes, have burned more than 500 hectares?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 16 - Will the wildfire south of Rennes (Gennes‑sur‑Seiche) be declared contained or extinguished?Yes
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15 - Will the Massif du Claps wildfire in Drôme have burned more than 500 hectares?No
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will residents of any Spanish municipality be ordered to evacuate due to a wildfire or fire risk?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 10