The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 19wildfire
TopicWeather
Live prediction markets about wildfire. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
Crowd track record
80%
of calls the crowd got right
5
markets settled
The crowd called 4 of 5 settled markets correctly.
Open questions
No open questions on this topic right now — check back soon.
How it turned out
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 16The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14Will residents of any Spanish municipality be ordered to evacuate due to a wildfire or fire risk?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 10