Will the wildfire near Saint‑Just, south of Rennes, have burned more than 500 hectares?

🤖 Context

YES if, by 12:00 on August 16, 2026, one or more official communiqués or situation updates report a single cumulative burned‑area total strictly greater than 500 hectares for the wildfire that began near Saint‑Just, south of Rennes. Otherwise NO. Authoritative sources are the préfecture d'Ille‑et‑Vilaine or the Service départemental d'incendie et de secours d'Ille‑et‑Vilaine (SDIS 35), and major wire agencies or national broadcasters that cite official figures are also accepted evidence. If a communiqué gives a numeric range use the upper bound as the reported total, if multiple official communiqués give different single totals use the largest official total, and if authorities treat more than one fire as distinct incidents count only the hectares attributed to the Saint‑Just incident.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 58 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

40%

Predictions made

58

Credits staked

1,867

Comments

2

Opened

Aug 14, 2026

Closes

Aug 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 16, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 40% and NO 60%, based on 58 predictions and 1.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the wildfire near Saint‑Just, south of Rennes, have burned more than 500 hectares?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the wildfire near Saint‑Just, south of Rennes, have burned more than 500 hectares?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.