Protección Civil

OrganizationWeather

Live prediction markets about Protección Civil. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.

Crowd track record

50%

of calls the crowd got right

markets settled

The crowd called 3 of 6 settled markets correctly.

Open questions

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How it turned out

Will any inhabited area in Spain be ordered to evacuate because of wildfires or fire risk linked to the fourth heatwave?Yes

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 19

Will any place in Oaxaca have 'lluvias puntuales intensas' (75–150 mm in 24 h) on August 12?No

The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will any area in Nayarit or Jalisco be placed under a mandatory evacuation for heavy rain, flooding, or storms?No

The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.

Aug 14

Will in-person classes be suspended in the Valley of Mexico and the Megalópolis on August 8?No

The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 12

Will any municipality in Sinaloa order evacuations or close in-person schools because of rain or flooding?No

The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 12

Will residents of any Spanish municipality be ordered to evacuate due to a wildfire or fire risk?Yes

The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.

Aug 10

Crowd track record

Open questions

How it turned out

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