Will the Massif du Claps wildfire in Drôme have burned more than 500 hectares?

🤖 Context

YES if an official update published no later than August 13, 2026 reports the total burned area for the wildfire identified as the 'massif du Claps' in the Drôme is strictly greater than 500 hectares. Authoritative sources are the Préfecture de la Drôme or the departmental fire service (SDIS 26). Equivalent reporting in major French news agencies that explicitly attribute a >500 ha figure to those official sources is acceptable as secondary evidence. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 52 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

68%

Predictions made

52

Credits staked

1,279

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 14, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 68% and NO 32%, based on 52 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Massif du Claps wildfire in Drôme have burned more than 500 hectares?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Massif du Claps wildfire in Drôme have burned more than 500 hectares?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.