🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 2
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab?
67%
Stable · last 24h
150 bets · 5.7K credits2
Details →Polymarket
Live prediction markets about Polymarket. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
82%
crowd accuracy
9/11
right calls
1
open question
Biggest miss
Will "The Odyssey" opening weekend box office be between $125M and $130M?
NoThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 16
67%
Yes
Open questions1
How it turned out11
- Will Riot Games announce it signed a sponsorship deal with Kalshi or Polymarket?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 14 - Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 3 - Will Trump say 'Tax' 30 or more times during his Las Vegas remarks?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8 - Will Claude Opus 4.6 "Thinking" be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 4 - Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No
The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will Claude go down 9 to 11 times in July?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 3 - Will Trump say 'Biden' or 'Obama' 10+ times during the cabinet meeting on July 31?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 3 - Will The Odyssey earn between $86M and $92M in its 2nd weekend at the U.S. box office?Yes
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Jul 29 - Will "The Odyssey" opening weekend box office be between $125M and $130M?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jul 20