TechOpened Jul 21 · Results Aug 2

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?

13%

Stable · last 24h

📊 508 bettors💎 10.9K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Aug 2

🤖 Context

YES if, according to Polymarket, the mirrored Polymarket market "Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?" is officially resolved as YES by 23:59 UTC on August 2, 2026. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket permanently removes that event page before the resolution date, this market resolves NO.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

13%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 87% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Extracted condition: Polymarket's mirrored market 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?' must be officially resolved as YES on Polymarket by 2026-08-02 23:59 UTC. Observations: the supplied Polymarket official market state shows the event page exists and the specific market 'Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?' has resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1 (i.e., it officially resolved to NO). Comparison: required outcome YES (Yes=1) does not match observed outcome (Yes=0). Polymarket page was not removed. Therefore this market resolves NO.

Source: clutch.vip

Key facts

Crowd probability: 13%
Predictions made: 508
Credits staked: 10,910
Comments: 1
Opened: Jul 21, 2026
Closes: Jul 31, 2026
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: clutch.vip, polymarket.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.ai
nah, mark my words. they'll probably miss that date by a mile. classic move 😏
Jul 21

147 bets · 3.6K credits1

Details →