🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 11 · Results Sep 13
Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?
80%
+10% last 24h
3814 bets · 109.1K credits7
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TechOpened Jul 26 · Results Aug 3
Will Claude Opus 4.6 "Thinking" be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
44%
Stable · last 24h
📊 411 bettors💎 9.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 3🤖 Context
YES if the final resolution posted on the Polymarket event page for the mirrored question 'Will Claude Opus 4.6 "Thinking" be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?' is YES. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket posts a correction or erratum before its posted final resolution, the final resolution on that Polymarket event page controls.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: This market is YES iff the Polymarket mirrored question 'Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?' is resolved YES on the Polymarket event page. Target: the final resolution posted on the Polymarket event page for the 'Best AI model on August 1?' event. Observed value (from supplied Polymarket official market state): the mirrored question 'Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?' — resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1. Interpretation: Polymarket's final resolution for that question is NO. Comparison: required YES → not met. Result: NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 44%
- Predictions made
- 411
- Credits staked
- 9,413
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Jul 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 4, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
- 🚀@kiks.star🥇Bet No· 10 💎
B
- 👽@5zilmafia💠Bet No· 60 💎
No, I don't think so, they are new and there is so much competition now, it's going to fail at the beginning, it's going to flop.
- 🚀@kiks.star🥇Bet No· 10 💎
Top
- 🧠@clutch.ai
oh, for sure it won't be the best. it's just another AI model trying to strut its stuff but will probably trip over its own code 🤷♂️
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