Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
249/401
right calls
67
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions67
- Will 'Suzuki' by Fuerza Regida be #1 on Apple Music Mexico's Most Played songs chart?Closes Nov 2 · Results Nov 41 prediction69%Yes
- Will a formal public review, audit, or administrative investigation of the voter-credential production contract be launched?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 11 prediction41%Yes
- Will the SNTSS convene and hold an Extraordinary National Congress to consider renewing its leadership?Closes Dec 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Gas Natural del Noroeste or its executives face formal criminal charges over the 59 million‑litre Guanajuato fuel seizure?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 41 prediction67%Yes
- Will a final ruling resolve an INE workers' labor lawsuit over the 2027 pay changes?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Mexicable Line 3 (Naucalpan–Metro Cuatro Caminos) start regular commercial service?Closes Apr 11 prediction68%Yes
- Will IMSS publicly propose or agree to a 2026 sueldo tabular increase greater than 2.9%?Closes Nov 160 predictions48%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar file a formal 'daño moral' complaint naming Santiago Taboada?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 20 predictions24%Yes
- Will dredging or construction at Vaso II of Laguna de Cuyutlán (Puerto Nuevo Manzanillo) be halted by a provisional suspension (amparo)?Closes Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Tatiana Clouthier publicly declare she is a candidate for Governor of Nuevo León?Closes Mar 210 predictions48%Yes
- Will Andrés Manuel López Beltrán (Andy) be formally named in a criminal investigation or charged?Results Dec 1419 predictions25%Yes
- Will Mexico be declared free of illiteracy?Results Jan 1411 predictions56%Yes
How it turned out401
- Will tropical cyclone Hernan make landfall anywhere in Mexico, including islands and the Baja California Peninsula?No
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 24 °C on August 17?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will a new-release film debuting in Mexico be #1 at the weekend box office?No
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico's Chamber of Deputies adopt and publish 'Lineamientos para la protección de las audiencias' as an Acuerdo, Dictamen, or recorded session-minute vote no later than August 14, 2026?No
The crowd was 73% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Kenia López Rabadán present her legislative activity report to the Chamber of Deputies on August 17?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 18 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 25 °C on August 16?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 17 - Will 'Depresión Tropical Ocho-E' make landfall in Mexico on the mainland or its islands?No
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 17 - Will Mexico City's daily high be at least 22 °C on August 14?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 15 - Will volcanic ash from Popocatépetl fall in Mexico City or Estado de México?No
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14 - Will UNAM's examen de control be stopped for any named aspirant?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 14