Will 'Depresión Tropical Ocho-E' make landfall in Mexico on the mainland or its islands?

🤖 Context

RESOLVES YES if the cyclone's centre is reported to have made landfall on Mexican territory, meaning the centre of circulation crossed from sea onto land, no later than August 16, 2026, according to SMN/CONAGUA, NHC/NOAA, another national meteorological agency advisory, or at least two independent reputable news outlets that name the system and say it made landfall. Reports that only describe heavy rain or impacts without stating the cyclone's centre made landfall resolve NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 21%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

21%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

160

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 13, 2026

Closes

Aug 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

smn.conagua.gob.mx

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 21% and NO 79%, based on 4 predictions and 160 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against smn.conagua.gob.mx once the outcome is known.

Is “Will 'Depresión Tropical Ocho-E' make landfall in Mexico on the mainland or its islands?” real-money betting?

No. “Will 'Depresión Tropical Ocho-E' make landfall in Mexico on the mainland or its islands?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.