Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, between 8:01 AM UTC on October 28, 2026 and no later than November 15, 2026, the IMSS or the SNTSS issues an official statement, or two independent Mexican national news outlets report, that the IMSS will apply or has agreed to apply a 2026 sueldo tabular increase strictly greater than 2.9% (i.e. 3.0% or more). Otherwise NO. • The evidence must explicitly state the numeric increase; general statements that negotiations continue or undisclosed offers do not count. • Two independent Mexican national outlets (for example Expansión and El Universal) suffice only if both report the numeric increase. • Source: IMSS or SNTSS official statement, or Mexican national news outlets such as Expansión and El Universal.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against politica.expansion.mx. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThe IMSS is likely to propose a higher salary increase, considering the current economic pressures. Expecting something over 3% seems reasonable given the context.

95%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

35%
+4% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h
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