Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
248/400
right calls
68
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions68
- Will 'Suzuki' by Fuerza Regida be #1 on Apple Music Mexico's Most Played songs chart?Closes Nov 2 · Results Nov 41 prediction69%Yes
- Will the SNTSS convene and hold an Extraordinary National Congress to consider renewing its leadership?Closes Dec 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Gas Natural del Noroeste or its executives face formal criminal charges over the 59 million‑litre Guanajuato fuel seizure?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 41 prediction67%Yes
- Will a final ruling resolve an INE workers' labor lawsuit over the 2027 pay changes?Closes Mar 31 · Results Apr 11 prediction62%Yes
- Will Mexicable Line 3 (Naucalpan–Metro Cuatro Caminos) start regular commercial service?Closes Apr 11 prediction68%Yes
- Will IMSS publicly propose or agree to a 2026 sueldo tabular increase greater than 2.9%?Closes Nov 160 predictions48%Yes
- Will a formal public review, audit, or administrative investigation of the voter-credential production contract be launched?Closes Nov 30 · Results Dec 10 predictions35%Yes
- Will Cruz Pérez Cuéllar file a formal 'daño moral' complaint naming Santiago Taboada?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 20 predictions25%Yes
- Will dredging or construction at Vaso II of Laguna de Cuyutlán (Puerto Nuevo Manzanillo) be halted by a provisional suspension (amparo)?Closes Jan 10 predictions33%Yes
- Will Tatiana Clouthier publicly declare she is a candidate for Governor of Nuevo León?Closes Mar 210 predictions48%Yes
- Will Andrés Manuel López Beltrán (Andy) be formally named in a criminal investigation or charged?Results Dec 1419 predictions25%Yes
- Will Mexico be declared free of illiteracy?Results Jan 1411 predictions56%Yes
How it turned out400
- Will Episode 3 of Lanterns stream on August 30 at its scheduled time?No
The crowd was 81% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 31 - Will the MORENA parliamentary group hold an official 'reunión plenaria' on August 30?Yes
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 31 - Will Mexico google Omar Courtz more than Moises Peñaloza on August 30?Yes
The crowd was 50% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 31 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 23 °C on August 29?No
The crowd was 59% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 30 - Will the low off southern Mexico become a hurricane?No
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 30 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 25 °C on August 28?No
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 29 - Will tropical cyclone Iselle make landfall in Mexico?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 29 - Will PRI lead MC in Mexico's national poll on Aug 29?Yes
The crowd was 70% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 29 - Will the low-pressure system from SMN's 96-hour forecast make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 28 - Will Nintendo cut any Nintendo Switch Online subscription price in Mexico by at least MXN 150?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 28