Will the low off southern Mexico become a hurricane?

🤖 Context

YES if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) issues an operational advisory no later than August 29, 2026 that explicitly classifies the same low-pressure area described in the linked Fox Weather article as a hurricane (Saffir–Simpson Category 1 or stronger). Major news outlets that clearly cite such an NHC advisory are also acceptable. Post‑season reanalysis does not change the result, and advisories about a different circulation do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 29 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

29

Credits staked

613

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 19, 2026

Closes

Aug 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 30, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 29 predictions and 613 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the low off southern Mexico become a hurricane?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the low off southern Mexico become a hurricane?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.